May 17, 2020

Offshore oil and gas discoveries in Egypt

3 min
Deepwater discoveries in Egypt
The fiscal and regulatory terms governing Egypts oil and gas industry may require amending after decades of stability, following new discoveries of gas...

The fiscal and regulatory terms governing Egypt’s oil and gas industry may require amending after decades of stability, following new discoveries of gas prospects in the country’s deepwater areas; however, numerous challenges may well outweigh the need for more incentives to boost exploration and production in the region, says a new report from research and consulting firm GlobalData.

The company’s latest report states that despite years of rigid Egyptian fiscal terms, a brief signal of flexibility came from an amendment signed by BP and RWE in 2010 for their North Alexandria and West Nile Delta concessions. Since then, however, recent bidding rounds have retained the Production-Sharing Agreement (PSA) framework.

Now, following recent discoveries in the previously unexplored areas of the offshore Nile Delta and Egypt’s wider Mediterranean waters, new investment incentives may be necessary to improve the attractiveness of exploration and production activity in the country.

Rabie Khellafi, GlobalData’s lead analyst covering Upstream Oil & Gas in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, says: “Many of the fields boast considerable size and come with significant costs, and with domestic gas prices being low compared to world and even regional averages, along with increasing domestic consumption and the decreasing exports share of the total production, profitability for license holders is significantly reduced.

“However, the decision to remove the production-sharing mechanism from the concession agreements in 2010 illustrates that improvements to Egypt’s fiscal terms could also make discoveries in this area commercially viable.”

On the other hand, due to political pressures and government finances, it is unlikely that Egypt will offer its concessions under the tax and royalty regime thought to be in place for these previous projects. It is also doubtful that the Egyptian public would support a policy that would see the state lose control of natural resources to foreign investors. Any unpopular decision could well risk political backfire.

“Furthermore, as production-sharing terms are biddable, adjustments may be made towards more favorable fiscal terms as perceived potential returns decrease,” Khellafi says. “The main issue will be pricing, as gas prices have been artificially kept low for a long period of time. The gas pricing formula has been linked to oil costs, but the price ceiling in the formula has always kept gas prices below $3 per thousand cubic feet (mcf), reducing potential higher profits and putting pressure on investments.

“Due to the costs of the state’s vast subsidy programs, large debts of around $5 billion, owed to international oil companies (IOCs), have also built up over recent years, relating to sales through the Egyptian General Petroleum Corp. (EGPC). Even if contract terms do become more attractive, this is unlikely to have a large effect on foreign investments if the problem of such debt is not solved so that investors can gain from the revenues related to such contracts,” the analyst concludes.

*Egypt Upstream Fiscal and Regulatory Report

This report sets out the contractual framework under which firms must operate in Egypt’s oil and gas industry, clearly defining factors affecting profitability and quantifying the state’s take from hydrocarbon production. Considering political, economic and industry-specific variables, the report also analyzes future trends for Egypt’s upstream oil and gas investment climate.

This report was built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research, and in-house analysis conducted by GlobalData’s team of industry experts.


Share article

Jul 26, 2021

Ofwat allows retailers to raise prices from April

Dominic Ellis
3 min
Ofwat confirms levels of bad debt costs across the business retail market are exceeding 2% of non-household revenue

Retailers can recover a portion of excess bad debt by temporarily increasing prices from April 2022, according to an Ofwat statement.

The regulator confirmed its view that levels of bad debt costs across the business retail market are exceeding 2% of non-household revenue, thereby allowing "a temporary increase" in the maximum prices. Adjustments to price caps will apply for a minimum of two years to reduce the step changes in price that customers might experience.

Measures introduced since March 2020 to contain the spread of Covid-19 could lead to retailers facing higher levels of customer bad debt. Retailers’ abilities to respond to this are expected to be constrained by Ofwat strengthening protections for non-household customers during Covid-19 and the presence of price caps.  

In April last year, Ofwat committed to provide additional regulatory protection if bad debt costs across the market exceeded 2% of non-household revenue. 

Georgina Mills, Business Retail Market Director at Ofwat said: “These decisions aim to protect the interests of non-household customers in the short and longer term, including from the risk of systemic Retailer failure as the business retail market continues to feel the impacts of COVID-19. By implementing market-wide adjustments to price caps, we aim to minimise any additional costs for customers in the shorter term by promoting efficiency and supporting competition.”  

There are also three areas where Ofwat has not reached definitive conclusions and is seeking further evidence and views from stakeholders:   

  1. Pooling excess bad debt costs – Ofwat proposes that the recovery of excess bad debt costs is pooled across all non-household customers, via a uniform uplift to price caps. 
  2. Keeping open the option of not pursuing a true up – For example if outturn bad debt costs are not materially higher than the 2% threshold. 
  3. Undertaking the true up – If a 'true up' is required, Ofwat has set out how it expects this to work in practice. 

Further consultation on the proposed adjustments to REC price caps can be expected by December.

Anita Dougall, CEO and Founding Partner at Sagacity, said Ofwat’s decision comes hot on the heels of Ofgem’s price cap rise in April.

"While it’s great that regulators are helping the industry deal with bad debt in the wake of the pandemic, raising prices only treats the symptoms. Instead, water companies should head upstream, using customer data to identify and rectify the causes of bad debt, stop it at source and help prevent it from occurring in the first place," she said.

"While recouping costs is a must, water companies shouldn’t just rely on the regulator. Data can help companies segment customers, identify and assist customers that are struggling financially, avoiding penalising the entire customer in tackling the cause of the issue."

United Utilities picks up pipeline award

A race-against-time plumbing job to connect four huge water pipes into the large Haweswater Aqueduct in Cumbria saw United Utilities awarded Utility Project of the Year by Pipeline Industries Guild.

The Hallbank project, near Kendal, was completed within a tight eight-day deadline, in a storm and during the second COVID lockdown last November – and with three hours to spare. Principal construction manager John Dawson said the project helped boost the resilience of water supplies across the North West.

“I think what made us stand out was the scale, the use of future technology and the fact that we were really just one team, working collaboratively for a common goal," he said.

Camus Energy secures $16m funding

Camus Energy, which provides advanced grid management technology, has secured $16 million in a Series A round, led by Park West Asset Management and joined by Congruent VenturesWave Capital and other investors, including an investor-owned utility. Camus will leverage the operating capital to expand its grid management software platform to meet growing demand from utilities across North America.

As local utilities look to save money and increase their use of clean energy by tapping into low-cost and low-carbon local resources, Camus' grid management platform provides connectivity between the utility's operations team, its grid-connected equipment and customer devices.

Share article